Skip to main content

THE CYCLING CONJECTURE

Cycling is passion, history, grit, determination, but also innovation and... conjecture.
Although rivalries have always been part of the sport, social media have now given dualism of opinions a loud platform.
In the past, we saw discord between the two major groupset companies (Campagnolo vs Shimano), or between riders, (Coppi vs Bartali). Books have been written about it, and plenty of banter has been dished out over the years.
The immediacy and exponential reach of social media has escalated the debates surrounding certain topics, as more people are inclined to share their own views based on personal experiences.
It can be about the effectiveness of helmets, the use of cycle lanes, the introduction of disc brakes in the peloton or the veracity of doping suspicions and yes, Team Sky!

It's a melee of convictions, affected by belief, half-truths, conspiracies, likes and dislikes. Partisan tunnel vision is not new, it's just that now we're armed with spreadsheets, pseudo data, dubious sources and a myriad of deductions.
Insufficient evidence, lack of proof or dissonant research often leaves chasms in interpretation.
Conjecture is seldom solved not necessarily because of the lack of information, but often by the sheer amount of data available. The approach most people use is heuristic, basically an educated guess, rather than coldly looking at facts, which often are unreliable.
There are also social factors involved (and a fair amount of mob mentality). We tend to follow the opinion of people we respect or like (consciously or unconsciously). Conclusions are drawn by a sense of belonging (more or less what happens with football fans towards referees' decisions... but a bit more behaved... just). An attachment to a point of view can originate from logical truths or from a combination of truths.
That involves two types of judgements, analytic or synthetic. With the analytic, we tend to see the facts at face value, based on available knowledge/logic; while the synthetic judgements are reached with knowledge about the topic and something related to the topic.
Analytic: Nibali is a Tour de France winner.
Synthetic: Nibali won the Tour de France because he doped.
Both sentences ring true (to some), only the first one, the analytic one is reliable because the fact is based on undisputed events, while the synthetic one is based on added knowledge (true or false depends on the source).
There is something rewarding from conjectures. They stimulate debate, they help to spread knowledge, and they generate banter, which is a healthy form of support.
But they also trigger hatred, insults and the creation of phoney experts in an already saturated field.
Moderation and respect are paramount in keeping this the most beautiful sport.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

OLYMPICS, DOPERS AND LIFE BANS

A lifetime Olympic ban for dopers is a duty. Unlike in various sports' federations, the Olympics has a specific message to deliver and allowing dopers back into the fold goes against those values. The Olympics was created with the ethos of peace and inclusion. In Ancient Greece, wars stopped for the duration of the games, enemies faced each other in healthy competitions instead of throwing weapons at each other. The purpose, to get a glimpse of equality in the eyes of the Gods, recharging and motivating patriotism by the inclusion of all. The Games have values, of freedom, peace and above all respect. It was not meant to be for professionals to take part, but money talks and professionals are invited to take part. Money has ruined the Olympics as it has created a commercial monster, aimed at companies' wealth and trade. That has brought fierce competition which has pushed doping to stellar heights to gain results. The only way to try retain the original spirit is to stop...

AN OLYMPIC EFFORT

When the Olympic cycling road race and TT race routes were announced I was extremely excited. I live bang in the middle of both. One of the most important races in cycling was going to be ridden near my house. Television screens would be filled with images of roads I'm familiar with, the pros will be riding my commute to work AND some of my cycling club runs' routes (Kingston Wheelers).

TELEGRAPH, BAD WRITING AND THE IGNORANCE AROUND CYCLING

When I read the Telegraph's article  http://www.telegraph.co.uk/men/active/recreational-cycling/10323653/War-declared-on-the-Lycra-louts-on-wheels.html  , I let it go. I simply regarded it as yet another example of pretentious journalism, with a cheap sensationalist headline. But this morning something happened on my commute to work and I hold journalism like that responsible for it.